It seems that Sanaa is going in the direction of imposing a new equation if the US-Saudi aggression continues to stall, and does not seize opportunities in the remaining narrow time margin, after it has set the equation of protecting wealth and preventing the forces of aggression from plundering Yemen's oil wealth.
In his speech, Sayyed Abdulmalik al-Houthi renewed adherence to the humanitarian issue, based on the fact that it is a "priority in the negotiations", and rejected the efforts of the aggression forces to evade any commitments or agreements, because these forces are the aggressor party against Yemen.
He addressed them by saying: " the US, the British, Saudi and UAE must know and must assume their responsibilities within the framework of any agreement.”
Regarding the political and the negotiating track, Sayyed Abdulmalik held the United States responsible for thwarting the course of negotiations, and stressed its endeavor to obstruct Omani efforts, through its attempt to “distance the coalition from any agreement or understanding,” and “postponing the withdrawal of foreign forces from Yemen for an indefinite period.”
He stressed that this matter (the withdrawal of foreign forces) is “essential” and “Yemen cannot accept the presence of invading or occupying forces in any province or island, because that would be a direct interference in the affairs of our country”. He addressed Washington, saying: "You must withdraw your forces from Yemen," commenting: "We seek to defeat your forces, whether in the provinces or islands, and we will continue with all options to purify our country."
Sayyed Abdulmalik’s demand and call for the withdrawal of foreign forces are not new, as he considers them, each time, one of the most important goals of peace, but what is new this time is his use of the word “go away” when addressing the American, the British, the Saudi and the Emirati. A word that recalls a phrase he had used during the September 21 Revolution (before the humiliating escape of the Marines from Sanaa), as if this time inaugurating a new stage of liberation.
Also, naming a group of areas suggests that they may be at the top of the military target list, if the Americans insist on trying to postpone the withdrawal of foreign forces indefinitely, the Yemeni Army may start the liberating operations from them.
Through experience of the past years, it became clear that Sana’a, before going to impose a new equation, whether internal or in the face of aggression, passes through four stages, which are:
- Negotiation, dialogue, and trying to round corners.
- Dropping the argument (in a speech personally handled by Sayyed Abdulmalik Badr al-Din, based on the fact that he is the first decision-maker, and in which equations are launched and lines are drawn, according to the stage and its requirements).
- Popular protests.
- Operational military action.
And because political matters, dialogue and negotiations have reached a dead end, as is clear, the leader of the revolution, Sayyed Abdulmalik al-Houthi, had two consecutive speeches in less than a week, in which he diagnosed the current stage, launched strategic equations in them, drew red lines in them, and mobilized them.
The day after his last speech, and in less than twenty-four hours, the people rallied in millions of marches, in support for the leadership, similar to the popular mandate and referendum, and in solidarity with Palestine and loyalty to the martyr President Saleh al-Sammad, and adherence to the just national cause.
Both friendly and enemy eyes remain focused on the fourth stage, which is the stage of military action and operational action to translate these equations. It seems that the time margin is very narrow in front of the forces of aggression and the mediator alike, as the people's patience has run out, and it cannot last indefinitely, and we do not rule out that diplomatic work will be moved and revitalized again, and we may witness a fourth visit of the Omani delegation to Sana'a.
These messages coincide in terms of timing in light of local, regional and international variables. On the internal level, the mercenary factions live in a state of disparity and division, including within the "Presidential Leadership Council".
At the regional level, it does not seem that the aggression countries are in a stable relationship in light of the intense competition, politically and economically, and some of its signs appeared during the last period, especially with the Abu Dhabi summit, which Mohammed bin Salman was absent from without objective reasons to justify that.
On the international level, which is the most important, the new Yemen equations come with the entry of the Western-Russian crisis in Ukraine into a new year, and perhaps a new chapter of the comprehensive confrontation between Russia and the West, as Biden's visits to Ukraine and Europe, and Putin's annual speech, suggest that.
Amidst these circumstances and changes, Sana'a finds its goal in launching and imposing new equations that serve to achieve the most important goal of the national defense strategy, which is necessarily the withdrawal of foreign forces, the cessation of aggression, and the lifting of the siege completely on Yemen. The forces of aggression, led by Saudi Arabia and the Western countries, are forced to face these equations, and to choose between two things:
First, surrendering to Sana’a’s conditions, not violating the red lines drawn by the Yemeni leadership (sovereignty, wealth, unity and dignity), and paying the price.
Second, the risk of resuming the aggression, thus risking its economic interests in a changing and turbulent world.
In conclusions, we are facing a critical stage, between two things: either escalation, or submission to the demands of the Yemeni people, and unless US-Saudi aggression and its supporters submit, we are going in the direction of the "protection of sovereignty" equation, in which the confrontation will be direct with Washington, and its interests will be at the mercy of the mighty Yemeni storm.
By Ali Dhafer translate by Almasirah English website